[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"public:question:5af63751-42ed-551a-9f3a-781fc83e78fc":3,"official-result:5af63751-42ed-551a-9f3a-781fc83e78fc":253,"financial-context:5af63751-42ed-551a-9f3a-781fc83e78fc":7},{"answerFields":4,"category":75,"definition":76,"freshness":219,"indexability":224,"mode":225,"closedAt":226,"prompt":139,"questionId":227,"renderer":228,"resultsPublishedAt":229,"resolvesAt":7,"rewardPoints":118,"slotValues":230,"state":232,"submissionCount":233,"submissionDeadlineAt":7,"summary":141,"taskRevision":234,"taskType":80,"taskVersion":234,"templateKey":149,"title":139,"closesAt":7,"context":235},[5,25,52,67],{"config":6,"key":8,"label":9,"options":10,"required":23,"type":24},{"unit":7},null,"pop","First-day close versus offer price",[11,14,17,20],{"id":12,"label":13,"value":12},"NEGATIVE","Below offer price",{"id":15,"label":16,"value":15},"FLAT_0_10","0% to under 10%",{"id":18,"label":19,"value":18},"POP_10_50","10% to under 50%",{"id":21,"label":22,"value":21},"POP_50_PLUS","50% or higher",true,"single_choice",{"config":26,"key":27,"label":28,"options":29,"required":51,"type":24},{"unit":7},"driver","Main driver",[30,33,36,39,42,45,48],{"id":31,"label":32,"value":31},"VALUATION","Valuation",{"id":34,"label":35,"value":34},"DEMAND","Investor demand",{"id":37,"label":38,"value":37},"FLOAT","Tradable supply",{"id":40,"label":41,"value":40},"GROWTH","Growth",{"id":43,"label":44,"value":43},"PROFITABILITY","Profitability",{"id":46,"label":47,"value":46},"MARKET_CONDITIONS","Market conditions",{"id":49,"label":50,"value":49},"UNCERTAIN","Uncertain",false,{"config":53,"key":54,"label":55,"options":56,"required":51,"type":24},{"unit":7},"risk","Risk level",[57,60,63,66],{"id":58,"label":59,"value":58},"LOW","Low",{"id":61,"label":62,"value":61},"MEDIUM","Medium",{"id":64,"label":65,"value":64},"HIGH","High",{"id":49,"label":50,"value":49},{"config":68,"key":69,"label":70,"options":71,"required":51,"type":24},{"unit":7},"confidence","Confidence",[72,73,74],{"id":58,"label":59,"value":58},{"id":61,"label":62,"value":61},{"id":64,"label":65,"value":64},"ipo",{"type":77,"settlement":136,"slotValues":138,"eligibility":148,"templateKey":149,"answerFields":150,"contentSlots":177,"templateLabel":208,"resolutionSpec":209,"chartEvidence":7},{"id":78,"icon":7,"name":79,"typeKey":80,"typeConfig":81,"submitStatus":85},"18","IPO debut v1","ipo.debut",{"settlement":82,"eligibility":88,"answerFields":89,"rewardOptions":116,"resolutionSpec":121,"allowedSettlements":133},{"params":83,"scheme":86,"payoutGate":87},{"rewardPolicy":84,"maxSubmissionsPerUser":85},"graded",1,"prediction_manual_entry","auto",{},[90,96,105,111],{"key":8,"type":24,"label":9,"options":91,"required":23},[92,93,94,95],{"label":13,"value":12},{"label":16,"value":15},{"label":19,"value":18},{"label":22,"value":21},{"key":27,"type":24,"label":28,"options":97,"required":51},[98,99,100,101,102,103,104],{"label":32,"value":31},{"label":35,"value":34},{"label":38,"value":37},{"label":41,"value":40},{"label":44,"value":43},{"label":47,"value":46},{"label":50,"value":49},{"key":54,"type":24,"label":55,"options":106,"required":51},[107,108,109,110],{"label":59,"value":58},{"label":62,"value":61},{"label":65,"value":64},{"label":50,"value":49},{"key":69,"type":24,"label":70,"options":112,"required":51},[113,114,115],{"label":59,"value":58},{"label":62,"value":61},{"label":65,"value":64},[117],{"max":118,"min":119,"asset":120},100,0,"EP",{"rules":122,"truthFields":125},[123],{"kind":124,"weight":85,"truthKey":8,"answerKey":8},"match_choice",[126],{"key":8,"type":24,"label":127,"options":128},"Actual First-day close versus offer price",[129,130,131,132],{"label":13,"value":12},{"label":16,"value":15},{"label":19,"value":18},{"label":22,"value":21},[134],{"params":135,"scheme":86,"payoutGate":87},{"rewardPolicy":84,"maxSubmissionsPerUser":85},{"params":137,"scheme":86,"payoutGate":87},{"rewardPolicy":84,"maxSubmissionsPerUser":85},{"title":139,"issuer":140,"purpose":141,"s1Stats":142,"targetAt":145,"offerPrice":146,"priceRange":147},"[Synthetic seed] How will the sample IPO trade on debut? — worked result","Synthetic Example 1 Corporation","Synthetic local prediction fixture. These values do not describe an actual market event.",[143,144],"Synthetic revenue,USD 120 million","Synthetic revenue growth,20%","2026-09-16T13:13:21.810Z","USD 12","USD 11.5–12.5",{},"ipo_debut_v1",[151,157,166,172],{"key":8,"type":24,"label":9,"options":152,"required":23},[153,154,155,156],{"label":13,"value":12},{"label":16,"value":15},{"label":19,"value":18},{"label":22,"value":21},{"key":27,"type":24,"label":28,"options":158,"required":51},[159,160,161,162,163,164,165],{"label":32,"value":31},{"label":35,"value":34},{"label":38,"value":37},{"label":41,"value":40},{"label":44,"value":43},{"label":47,"value":46},{"label":50,"value":49},{"key":54,"type":24,"label":55,"options":167,"required":51},[168,169,170,171],{"label":59,"value":58},{"label":62,"value":61},{"label":65,"value":64},{"label":50,"value":49},{"key":69,"type":24,"label":70,"options":173,"required":51},[174,175,176],{"label":59,"value":58},{"label":62,"value":61},{"label":65,"value":64},[178,182,186,189,192,195,198,202,205],{"key":179,"label":180,"required":23,"valueType":181},"title","Question","text",{"key":183,"label":184,"required":51,"valueType":185},"purpose","Resolution rules","textarea",{"key":187,"label":188,"required":23,"valueType":181},"issuer","Issuer",{"key":190,"label":191,"required":23,"valueType":181},"offerPrice","Offer price",{"key":193,"label":194,"required":23,"valueType":181},"targetAt","First session close",{"key":196,"label":197,"required":51,"valueType":181},"priceRange","Filed range",{"key":199,"label":200,"required":51,"valueType":201},"s1Stats","Filing highlights","string[]",{"key":203,"label":204,"required":51,"valueType":201},"comps","Comparables",{"key":206,"label":207,"required":51,"valueType":181},"source","Source","IPO debut",{"rules":210,"truthFields":212},[211],{"kind":124,"weight":85,"truthKey":8,"answerKey":8},[213],{"key":8,"type":24,"label":127,"options":214},[215,216,217,218],{"label":13,"value":12},{"label":16,"value":15},{"label":19,"value":18},{"label":22,"value":21},{"ageMs":220,"checkpointUpdatedAt":221,"feedCursor":222,"status":223},13826,"2026-10-01T14:17:04.576Z","1010","FRESH","INDEX","EVENT","2026-09-25T13:44:39.239Z","5af63751-42ed-551a-9f3a-781fc83e78fc","IPO_DEBUT","2026-09-25T13:54:52.235Z",{"title":139,"issuer":140,"purpose":141,"s1Stats":231,"targetAt":145,"offerPrice":146,"priceRange":147},[143,144],"RESULTS_PUBLISHED",24,5,{"category":75,"marketReferenceLabel":147,"mode":225,"prompt":139,"sourceLabel":236,"summary":141,"timeframeLabel":237,"title":139,"evidence":238,"issuer":140,"kind":249,"methodology":250},"Reviewed offering evidence","Open window",[239,240,241,243,246],{"label":188,"value":140},{"label":191,"value":146},{"label":242,"value":145},"Target",{"label":244,"value":245},"Synthetic revenue","USD 120 million",{"label":247,"value":248},"Synthetic revenue growth","20%","IPO_DEBUT_V1",{"closePolicy":251,"resolutionCriteria":252},"Answers close at the deadline shown on this question.","The published debut change from the offer price is matched to the selected band. Optional reasoning does not affect the score.",{"publishedAt":229,"truth":254},{"pop":12}]